5 Reasons Why Donald Trump Can’t Win in the General Election

donald-trump-something-wrongThe Republican party is in full panic mode right now. As we inch closer and closer to the first presidential primaries, Donald Trump hasn’t gone away. In fact, most polls show his numbers at all-time highs. If you’re a rational Republican (yes, they do exist) you know there’s no way your party can go into 2016 with Trump as your candidate and expect to win.

While I know many Trump supporters believe he’s the only hope for America, these people are fools. You have to be a complete idiot to think Donald J. Trump would make a good president.

The truth is, Trump really can’t win. Sure, he can win the Republican nomination, because that’s largely dependent upon “the base” (to which he’s pandering brilliantly) and primary debates filled with candidates who mostly seem too scared to go up against him (except for Jeb). But the general election is an entirely different animal altogether – and it’s something Trump won’t perform well in.

Here’s why.

1. What works in the primaries doesn’t typically work in the general election: The downside of Republicans ever choosing a far-right radical candidate has always been that what they said during the primaries would come back to haunt them in the general election. Much of what Trump is using now to build up his support caters to a very… very specific set of voters: Far-right, tea party radicals. Right now the only ‘vote’ Trump has locked down is the fairly uneducated and angry white vote, which isn’t enough to win in the general election. His support from Latinos, other minority groups, and people with an education is flat-out abysmal.

Jeb Bush was right, Trump can’t insult his way to the presidency. Unfortunately for Republicans, it does appear he can insult his way to the GOP nomination.

2. His sexism: Trump has proven repeatedly that he has no problem making offensive comments about women, including referring to a woman who needed to breastfeed as “disgusting” and calling others fat pigs. If he’s forced to go up against Hillary Clinton (yes Sanders supporters, I realize that’s a big if), his sexism is going to come out in a big… big way. He will literally try to paint Clinton as the sexist and himself as the champion of women’s rights. It’s going to be a must-see train wreck of epic proportions.

In fact, we’re already seeing some of what I’m talking about trickle out recently. He’s actually taken a couple of shots at Bill Clinton’s past sexual indiscretions. That’s rather ironic considering Trump cheated on his first wife with his second wife and he’s now currently in his third marriage. I’m actually looking forward to seeing one adulterer try to criticize another. That’s the sort of stuff you just can’t make up.

3. Despite popular belief, Republican voter turnout would be low: Yes, the “base” will be highly enthusiastic and rabid for a “President Trump” – but almost nobody else within the party will be. Politicians with future ambitions to either extend their careers, or advance them in some other way nationally, are not going to want to risk being tied in with Trump. Not only that, I’ve spoken to more than a few moderate to fairly conservative Republican friends who’ve told me they won’t vote for him because he’ll destroy their party. As I’ve stated before, I do believe there are more than just a few Republicans who would rather see Hillary Clinton or Bernie Sanders elected, and focus on winning in 2020, than risk seeing Trump dismantle the GOP from within, potentially doing damage from which they might never recover.

4. His policies will get destroyed in a general election: Aside from his tax plan which has been crushed by economic experts as unrealistic and would add around $10 trillion to the national debt, Trump hasn’t provided very many details about anything he plans to do. Sure, he says he’s going to build a wall, deport 12 million immigrants and end all inner city gang violence in 18 months – but how? In the general election, details matter – specifics matter. While saying something like “I’ll do things with the economy unlike anyone else, just watch. It’ll be fabulous. We’ll become winners again. China won’t know what hit them” plays well to primary voters – that sort of nonsense will get destroyed during a general election.

And the fact is, the reason why Trump never provides specifics on his nonsense is because he has no idea how he would do any of it. He’s just saying what he knows conservatives want to hear. Which, unfortunately for them, is a whole load of crap based on conservative fan fiction rather than reality.

5. He’s a weakling who’ll crumble under the weight of the scrutiny of the general election: Sure, “The Donald” talks tough – but he’s not. No one who’s truly confident in themselves is as thin-skinned as he is. This is a guy who throws routine temper tantrums on Twitter anytime someone is remotely critical of him. I’ve never seen a candidate obsess about his polling numbers or what the media is saying like he does. Which is funny, because the media hasn’t even started to be tough with him yet. They’re too busy kissing up to him because he’s a ratings cash cow for these networks.

But during the general election, things get much… much more difficult. If he thinks the media is being “unfair” with him now because, from time to time, some journalists call him out on his ridiculous rhetoric – just wait. Right now the media is living in a world where they have to tolerate him. Once the general election starts, there’s an “expiration date” for Trump the politician. He’ll be locked in as the GOP nominee and essentially at their mercy. There won’t be any need to “be nice” to him as he would have no other choice than to make appearances on their networks – no matter how tough the questioning is – or risk handing all the free national spotlight to the Democratic candidate. Which would make him look very weak and cowardly by avoiding the press.

There’s a reason why most Democrats I know are hoping Donald Trump is the Republican candidate. While Trump likes to talk big about crushing Clinton or Sanders in a debate, either Democratic candidate would absolutely embarrass him.

And the harsh reality is, the leadership within the Republican party knows it.

Allen Clifton

Allen Clifton is a native Texan who now lives in the Austin area. He has a degree in Political Science from Sam Houston State University. Allen is a co-founder of Forward Progressives and creator of the popular Right Off A Cliff column and Facebook page. Be sure to follow Allen on Twitter and Facebook, and subscribe to his channel on YouTube as well.


Facebook comments

  • cruisersailor

    It wouldn’t surprise me if Trump became the next president. I’d be disgusted, but not surprised.

    • Rocky Racoon

      I would be shocked that so many voters could be fooled by his bullshit!

      • Alexander Smith

        Like when empty suit Obama was elected 2 times?

    • Gurgel Mångben

      I’d be disgusted but entertained. The comedians would make a blast of it.

    • Gurgel Mångben

      But don’t worry. Trump is not going to win. If he’s nominated, he’ll lose by a landslide. He’s a temporary freakshow that will sink after some establishment candidate wins the nomination, and he’ll be forgotten after Clinton wins the general election. Sorry, Sanders-fans, but your idol will sink too. Yes, I’m sorry as well.

      • Alexander Smith

        For sure, I heard that on CNN, NBC, CBS, MSNBC, FOX, ESPN, Animal Planet…. It must be true, I am a MSM simpleton, I repeat what I am told, I have no mind of my own, I know everything about Trump, the MSM told me everything about him. I am really smart, other people agree with me.

      • scott

        Lolol so funny to think Peesident Trump wont win! Its almost the same as Obama doing anything for the American people besides creating devide, anger and more debt than all Presidents before him COMBINED! What a joke! The Amercan people jave spoken no more crooked politicians!!! Its abot time! Pluss clinton cant be President if shes in jail!

      • Nick Wride

        Your ignorance is astounding. The divide in America has been made worse by the right wing, KKKhristian KKKonservative RepubliKKKlans. The debt has been built up cleaning up the mess left behind by the Cheney/Bush REGIME.

    • Alexander Smith

      1 out of every 2 voters wants to vomit on you for voting for King Obama.

      • Nick Wride

        Obama won because the Republicans ran losers against him. McCain and Psycho Barbie? Really? Willard and Lyin’ Ryan? For real? And as long as they keep running far right wingnutter, fringe whackos, they will never again win a national election.

  • Gene Fuller

    You are wrong about Trimup. People tried to convince us Reagan couldn’t win. Trump has across the board followers that will fight for him

  • John Myer

    Go ahead with your groupthink. You have seriously miscalculated the seething wrath of the American voter. All your special interest groups pulled together wouldn’t hold a candle to the inferno you progressive pigs have lit. Just wait, your chickens are coming home to roost and I for one cannot wait to see it!

    • Nick Wride

      Of course John ignores the FACT that conservatives created the disaster that Obama inherited, while being obstructionists on an epic scale. You and the rest of your old, angry white male ilk are a dying breed.

  • Dr.JohnnyFever

    the last two elections were won by a BLACK MAN! And he has become of one of our more beloved presidents. Yes the right wing is a hate group, no doubt about that. And they will nominate Drumpf. I just find it illogical that the right wing can hand us a white supremacist and think that win them the election. Especially when the name “trump” has become the new “Heil Hitler”. And he is one ugly man. Very very ugly.

  • TimTom

    Hey guess what….TRUMP WON.