It’s no secret that I’m not a Republican. Very little they do makes any sense, and usually when they do something that does make some kind of sense it’s a PR move following some epic disaster. For example, many Republicans are now pushing away from the tea party following the incredibly unpopular government shutdown that tea party Republicans were the leading force behind.
Republicans are banking on this “push back” benefitting their party — which it very well could in the short-term — but the future of the GOP is very dim. This whole “rebellion” against tea party conservatives isn’t going to go well for the Republican party. In fact, I’m predicting it splits the party in two.
See, the tea party is a very interesting entity. For all intents and purposes, tea party Republicans control the message of the Republican party because they control primary elections. During the primaries, those who turn out to vote in these elections are usually the “base” of any particular political party. Meaning that when Republican primary season rolls around, most of the people voting in those elections are going to be what we would call “tea party Republicans.” And as we’ve seen, they’re a spiteful, paranoid, hateful, whiny bunch of people.
The type who won’t have any problem turning on many people within their own party. Hell, they’ve already been doing so and have threatened to do it again.
So just how do you think these people are going to react with leading members of the GOP basically saying that they’re a big part of the problem in Washington? How do you think they’re going to react when these same leading Republicans appear to be ignoring what they want?
Well, my prediction: They’ll soon start running their own candidates by creating their own party. Heck, the tea “party” might actually become its own party.
If this happens, expect all hell to break loose within the GOP. The party stands absolutely no chance at maintaining any kind of relevancy nationally with the conservative vote being split in every local and national election. Not only that, you’d start seeing more Republicans that have been turned on by their constituents joining the Democratic party.
So let me just paint this picture: The potential for a split party, splintering the GOP vote between two distinct factions while the more “moderate” Republicans shift toward the Democratic party.
And if you think for a second the tea party is just going to sit back and allow more rank and file Republicans to simply ignore them, you obviously haven’t been paying attention the last five years. These people have proven time and time again they have no problem turning on their own.
It’s why I’ve said for a while now that Republicans screwed themselves when they embraced the tea party. They created something that gave power and a voice to the most extreme parts of their party; it energized these people, and there’s simply no going back.
The government shutdown is a perfect example of what the future looks like within the GOP. While most Americans (and even most moderate Republicans) knew the government shutdown was a terrible idea, tea party Republicans not only loved it — they actually believed they “won” something. Heck, many of them were willing to keep it going indefinitely and even embraced the idea of a default on our national debt.
They’re absolutely delusional, and these are the people established Republicans have decided to take on.
Yeah, good luck with that.
Liberals have been doing it for years to no avail. Tea party Republicans don’t operate on any plane of reality known to sane human beings. You can’t reason with them because they don’t operate within reason. You can’t use common sense because they lack the ability to understand it. They’re a group of people who operate entirely off the belief that “reality” is what they want to be real instead of what is real.
So Republicans can “push back” all they want, but it’s not going to do them any good. In fact, odds are it’ll just expedite the full-fledged break-up of the GOP.
That or they’ll chicken out and continue to sell out to the tea party once they see this is happening. Which wouldn’t surprise me whatsoever.
Either way, it’s going to be quite interesting to watch the entire soap opera continue to play out over the next few years.