Now that we’re heading into the home stretch of the 2016 primary season, the process is starting to slow down just a bit. Though there are still plenty of important days ahead. While Wisconsin is the only state going to the polls today, five states (MD, CT, DE, PA, RI) go to the polls on April 26th and six states (CA, MT, NJ, ND, NM, SD) vote on June 7th. Then let’s not forget New York which votes two weeks from today on April 19th.
For tonight, all eyes are on Wisconsin where the favorites to win the state, Bernie Sanders and Ted Cruz, are hoping the polls are right and they emerge victorious.
As most polls predicted, Bernie Sanders has been projected the winner on the Democratic side in Wisconsin. As usual, we won’t know the final number of delegates he’ll take away from the state until all the results are in.
So, what does this mean?
Well, for Sanders, it’s another solid win for a campaign that needs a lot of them if it wants to catch up to Hillary Clinton. The unfortunate reality for Sanders is, it’s not just winning – but by how much. He could win out in every state and still not catch Clinton unless his margins of victory are all substantial. While he gained ground on her with several big wins over the last couple of weeks, outside of his victory in Washington, his big wins were in very small states with very few delegates. So, while he gained on Clinton – he was still down 263 delegates heading into tonight. He’ll obviously chip away at that some based on the final results; if he wins by over 10% it would be a huge boost to a campaign that needs it heading into New York.
For Clinton, this was a state she would have liked to win, but wasn’t particularly counting on. She’s made it pretty clear over the last couple of weeks that her focus is on New York, though she did do quite a bit of campaigning in Wisconsin. Going into tonight’s primary, nearly everything favored Sanders: A mostly white state with a very low African American and Latino population and an open primary. I think for Clinton, keeping Wisconsin close was her primary goal.
Now that Wisconsin is (mostly) behind us, we now shift our focus to the “big one” – New York. This state could literally be make or break for both campaigns.
As for tonight, a big congratulations goes out to Bernie Sanders on his Wisconsin victory.