When it came to the New Hampshire primary, there really wasn’t a great deal of drama like we saw in Iowa. For weeks polls had indicated that Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders were headed for fairly easy victories. Unlike Iowa where polling results were much more competitive headed into last Monday, adding some doubt over who would actually win from each party.
Well, like I said, tonight we didn’t have that drama. And as expected, Trump has walked away with a fairly easy victory in the Republican party’s primary.
In fact, the only real “drama” heading into tonight’s race was how the top five would round out. With Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio failing to seize on the momentum they had temporarily gained following Iowa, and with John Kasich and Jeb Bush polling much better in New Hampshire than they did in the Hawkeye State, many people were wondering how everything might shake out for Republicans. Especially for Rubio, the candidate who’s been essentially “anointed” as the candidate that the Republican establishment would like to see overtake Trump as the favorite to win the party’s nomination.
As it turns out, John Kasich pulled out a solid second place finish which should give him some much needed momentum moving forward as a “relatively” sane Republican establishment alternative to Trump. (Make no mistake about it, however, Kasich would still be devastating for our country.)
Meanwhile, Marco Rubio looks like he’s going to finish fifth in the state. It’s not a good week to be Marco Rubio.
So, what does tonight’s victory mean for Trump? Well, probably not much. As I’ve said before, both Iowa and New Hampshire really don’t matter a great deal in the overall grand scheme of things. For Republicans, the last two winners of Iowa were Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum, two candidates who’ve already dropped out of this race. Then when it comes to New Hampshire, a Republican hasn’t gone on to become president after winning the state’s primary since George H.W. Bush did in 1988.
While it’s always nice to get a win and some extra momentum, it’s safe to say that neither Iowa or New Hampshire are states on which anyone should really place a great deal of emphasis.
However, with Iowa and New Hampshire out of the way, this is when the election really begins. Not that I’m discounting any of the winners from the first two states, but neither state has ever proven to be a really good representation of what the rest of the country will do as far as selecting a candidate to represent either the Democratic or Republican parties.
But with Nevada, South Carolina and Super Tuesday upon us in just a couple of weeks, very soon we’re all about to find out how the 2016 election might ultimately shake out for both parties.