Typically I’m not a believer in “no-win” situations. I tend to lean more toward the “if there’s a will, there’s a way” mentality. I believe even in a “loss,” you should know you at least tried and failed rather than simply failing without trying.
However, I am readily aware that “no-win” situations do exist. In fact, I’m seeing one right now as it relates to Donald Trump and the Republican party. As much as the RNC cringes at the thought of Trump as their party’s nominee, there’s nothing they can do about it.
Right now, Donald Trump owns the Republican party and the RNC for two main reasons.
Reason Number One:
He is immensely popular with a good chunk of Republican voters. They’re loyal, fanatical, completely infatuated and cannot be deterred in any way into thinking that Trump wouldn’t be one of the best presidents in U.S. history. No matter what he says or does, even if that includes blaming 9/11 on George W. Bush, his numbers continue to stay strong. Heck, they even improve in many of these instances where he said something that would normally sink any other candidate.
But the problem is, Trump is only really strongly embraced by around 35-40 percent of Republican voters. In fact, he’s actually loathed by a good chunk of the Republican party. Even going beyond that, I truly believe there are Republicans out there who would rather see a Democrat win in 2016, then regroup and try to win in 2020, than see Trump destroy their party over the next four years.
When it comes to the general election, Donald Trump is, by far, their weakest candidate.
Yet, he’s the current overwhelming frontrunner. And as long as both Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio both continue to stay in the race, splitting each other’s vote, neither will ever stand a realistic shot at overtaking “The Donald.” Though it’s obvious at this point that the RNC really wants Rubio to ultimately be “the guy.” This puts it on the narcissistic egomaniac Cruz to “do what’s best for the party” and drop out, which I don’t see happening as long as he’s polling about as well as Rubio. After all, between the two, Cruz has actually won a state. So as long as both candidates stay in, Trump is likely headed toward double-digit victories in most of the upcoming primaries.
And if Trump is the GOP nominee, that’s going to be an absolute nightmare for the party.
Reason Number Two:
If Donald Trump somehow manages to get passed up by Marco Rubio, he’s going to have a complete meltdown. Especially considering the RNC and the “big money Republicans” have made it readily clear that Rubio is the candidate they want.
That will likely prompt Trump to run as an independent, claiming he was treated “unfairly” by the party. And if that happens, he’ll split the Republican vote and hand Democrats the presidency this November.
There’s likely no happy ending to the story here for the Republican party. Their only hope is that Marco Rubio passes Trump and somehow Trump simply bows out gracefully and with humility to let the “strongest” and “best” GOP candidate run in the general election.
Does anybody honestly think that’s happening?
I sure as heck don’t.
The bottom line is, Republicans spent years embracing ignorance, hate, bigotry and racism – now they’re likely getting the candidate they deserve.