While many of the Super Tuesday states weren’t really “up for grabs,” so to speak, a handful of them were expected to be fairly tight races. In particular, Massachusetts, Colorado, Oklahoma and Minnesota were labeled as the states to watch on the Democratic side tonight. In fact, with Hillary Clinton long-expected to win states like Texas, Georgia, Alabama, Virginia, Arkansas and Tennessee, these four states are incredibly crucial for Bernie Sanders’ campaign going forward.
Well, that campaign took a fairly big hit with the senator from Vermont losing a state some polls actually had him winning a couple of weeks ago – though over the last 7-10 days Clinton had come out on top in most polls. In fact, going into this contest, Nate Silver gave Clinton a 94 percent chance of winning. While Silver isn’t the final word on election results, he’s pretty damn accurate.
So, what does this mean? For Clinton, it’s huge. Not only was this a state where Sanders had led in the polls fairly recently, it’s a state that borders his home state of Vermont. So for her to get a state so close to Sanders’ home turf is a fairly big deal.
For Sanders, this is a bit of a gut punch. While projections over the last week or so had him losing this state, it was still a win he had hoped he could get. Especially being a New England state very close to home.
But with the final results being somewhat close (at least much closer than a 20-30 point victory), the delegate split won’t be that much in the favor of Clinton. While she’ll leave Massachusetts with more delegates, being that these elections aren’t “winner take all” losing a state by a few points isn’t necessarily a death blow for any candidate.