While I would never want to see him as this nation’s president, I do sort of feel sorry for Jeb Bush. Here was a guy who you could tell had always wanted to run for president, but had almost given up on that dream after his brother’s incompetency nearly destroyed this country. But as 2016 approached, the Republican party’s desperation reached such a fever pitch that some within the RNC were trying to talk Mitt Romney into running again.
When Romney finally gave them a firm “no,” that’s when the attention seemed to shift toward Jeb. While I clearly don’t know what was said behind closed doors, the whole process seemed as if they pitched him an easy path to the GOP nomination based on all the rumors surrounding the clown car of candidates that were probably going to run. It seemed like a solid plan. After all, Bush had his last name, a firm grasp of the ins and outs of politics and could probably raise more money than any other candidate.
Unfortunately for Jeb and the RNC, they vastly underestimated just how badly conservative voters really want one of the “clowns” representing the party this year. As it stands right now, the ass of all clowns, Donald Trump, is unquestionably the top performer.
Sure, Jeb has tried to take on “The Donald” – though he’s failed miserably. Not only that, but Jeb is a far worse candidate than even I could have imagined. I never thought he was going to be all that wonderful, but I had always thought he was the “smarter Bush.” Now I’m not even sure if he’s that. His campaign and his performance as a candidate has been abysmal.
Well, if history is any indicator, his misery might soon be coming to an end.
On Wednesday it was reported that Jeb has pulled major television ads in Iowa and South Carolina, essentially “throwing in the towel” on two key early primary states. While it’s not unprecedented to see a candidate shift resources out of a state they don’t believe they can win, it’s still typically not a good sign for the longevity of a campaign. Especially when you consider that, while Jeb is struggling in Iowa (5%) and South Carolina (7%), it’s not exactly like he’s polling particularly high in New Hampshire, either (8%).
His strategy now seems to be entirely based on a strong showing in New Hampshire, which is not a good strategy for a candidate like Jeb. New Hampshire tends to have a very unique collection of voters that don’t always rush to the side of “establishment” candidates. This is a place where Ron Paul and Jon Huntsman came in second and third respectively to Romney in 2012.
It seems like is Jeb is going to rely solely on his Super PACs to keep him afloat in Iowa and South Carolina, then pray that he has a strong showing in New Hampshire to justify him staying in this race. If he doesn’t do well there, I don’t see Jeb staying in past New Hampshire. There really wouldn’t be any justification for it.
I will say, as primaries inch closer and closer, I am getting excited. After all these months (if not years) of anticipation, we’re now only a few weeks away from the official “kickoff” to primary season. And if the last few months are any indication of what the future holds, it’s going to be very interesting.
One thing looks almost certain: We won’t have to worry about another Bush in the White House anytime soon.
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