The common belief held by many heading into election day this year is that it’s going to be a bad day for Democrats. And they might very well be right. Typically, polls do paint a fairly accurate picture of what Americans should expect to see heading into election day. Well, credible polls anyway. Let’s not forget 2012 when Fox News and the right-wing media often boasted about their polls showing Romney ahead or tied with President Obama – only to see the president cruise to an easy victory.
That’s the thing about polls – they can be very easily manipulated. Take for instance this ridiculous poll conducted by Fox News a few weeks ago.
Well, the most efficient and commonly used method for conducting these polls is via telephone. It’s usually a random combination of landlines and cell phones, often of people who are registered to vote.
Though there’s one thing many of these pollsters seem to not realize: liberal voters tend to be younger, busier and more tech savvy. Whereas conservatives are older, often much more routine and usually stick to basics when it comes to technology.
But there’s also another underlying factor many of these “polling experts” seem to be ignoring: a lot of younger people don’t answer phone calls from strange numbers.
Heck, many Americans 40 and under don’t answer phone calls at all. In fact, often the younger you get (ages 18-30) the more you encounter people who view talking on the phone the same way they view VHS tapes. They don’t talk on the phone – they text, Instagram, Facebook or tweet.
Meanwhile conservatives are often very traditional when it comes to such things. They’re the people who still have landlines. While on the opposite end, many Americans 25 and under have never even lived in a house that had a traditional telephone landline.
Does this mean some of these polls are inaccurate? Possibly.
If you do a random poll of 1,500 people, and 900 of the respondents are conservatives, of course the numbers are going to skew toward the Republican party. Then there’s always the “closet partisans,” which are voters who claim to be independents, yet almost always vote with one party or the other.
Now this doesn’t necessarily mean that these polls aren’t accurate and Democrats are headed for a good day November 4th. But it wouldn’t really shock me to see a few surprises this Tuesday that many of the polls heading into this year’s election got wrong.
But there’s only one way for certain to ensure that Republicans don’t take back the Senate – liberals need to get out and vote. Every voter who opposes Republican ideology who doesn’t vote this year, by their absence, is essentially voting for the GOP.
It’s like I’ve said before, Republicans want lower voter turnout. When fewer voters show up at the polls, their party does a whole lot better. So when liberals don’t vote, that’s a win for Republicans.
Need information on your local polling place and what’s on the ballot? Head here and find out.
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