In movies there are all types of villains. You have the cartoonish, over-the-type “Bond” type of villains, then you have the calculated, diabolical ones like Keyser Soze from The Usual Suspects.
Obviously, someone like Donald Trump is the outrageous villain that’s so ridiculous it’s difficult to take him seriously (except he’s legitimately terrifying because this isn’t a movie), I view Speaker of the House Paul Ryan as the calculated, diabolical type.
Before going forward, I want to make it clear that this isn’t me presenting this as a “matter-of-fact” conspiracy. So, please, don’t go ranting about this being “fake news” like some have done. This is just a theory that I’ve had over the last few weeks/months that I wanted to put out there so people are at least aware of what could possibly be going on.
The GOP reaction to Trump has been rather peculiar for quite a while. Even though I loathe many within the party, and disagree with practically everything that they stand for, most congressional Republicans aren’t simple-minded buffoons like Trump and those who enthusiastically support him.
Sure, they’re obviously acting like complete hypocrites by downplaying all these ties Trump has to Russia, even though doing so doesn’t make a whole lot of sense – at least politically. In fact, they’re taking a rather big chance by acting as if all of this isn’t that big of a deal. With mounting evidence continuing to tie Trump and his campaign to contact with Russian officials, it really does feel like it’s only a matter of time before something massive comes out that shakes the very foundation of this country.
These aren’t small, partisan accusations. This is a very serious situation where the man who succeeded President Obama as this nation’s leader could have very well committed treason by conspiring with an enemy that attacked us to undermine our 2016 election.
Yet, if you ask me, Republicans seem to be doing everything they can to “lay low” and buy time. Instead of being on the forefront of all of this, GOP leadership has been mostly out of the picture over the last few weeks. Especially Speaker Ryan who, arguably, is still the leader of his party despite the fact that Trump’s the person occupying the White House.
But – why? Well, here’s my theory.
The vast majority of the GOP knows Trump is an absolute joke, a head case, and someone who has no business being president. Sure, they like Pence, but he’s no “president.” He’s only serving alongside Trump right now because a long list of far better candidates for vice president wanted nothing to do with this administration. If they were to push for a full-on investigation now, exposing what many of us think could be true, they’d have no choice but to impeach Trump and remove him from office.
That means, according to our Constitution, Mike Pence — yes, this guy — would take his place.
What many people might not know is that if, for the sake of argument, Pence replaced Trump a year from now, he’d only be allowed to run for president once. Our laws state that if someone serves two years or more of a term for a president that could no longer fulfill their duties, they can only run one more time.
If they happen to serve less than two years — then they can run for two full terms.
So, what does this have to do with Ryan?
My feeling is if congressional Republicans ever decide to go after Trump for these ties to Russia, the whole administration is going to have to go — Pence included. Having someone impeached (or resign before impeachment) for colluding with an enemy that attacked us would be a scandal unlike anything we’ve seen in our country’s history. This would be treason at the highest level. And if that were to happen, I don’t see any possible way that Pence could claim “plausible deniability” and act as if he knew nothing about what had gone on.
Heck, even if that were true, that would still qualify as gross incompetence and almost certainly prevent him from having any chance at the 2020 election.
But, wait! If congressional Republicans were to push to impeach Trump, causing both he and Pence to resign to avoid the humiliation of both potentially being removed from office, then who’d become president?
Oh! Speaker of the House Paul Ryan.
If Ryan and the GOP can delay this as long as possible, there’s a good chance that they could potentially get rid of both Trump and Pence very early into 2019, making Ryan the president — and he’d be eligible to run for a full two-terms in 2020 and 2024. Meaning that, in theory, he could be president for a full decade.
Keep in mind, Ryan is the darling of the GOP. If this were to happen (and I’m not saying it’s going to, but this is a feeling I haven’t been able to shake), Ryan could then spend the next two years being the “anti-Trump.” As long as he’s somewhat rational and sane publicly — even though he’s absolutely awful — that could be a huge boost to his overall popularity.
Imagine you hadn’t eaten in over a week. You’d be starving, delirious, and desperate for anything to eat. At that point, even if you’d never touch broccoli under normal circumstances, you’d eat handfuls of it, thinking it was some of the best food you’d ever eaten. Not because you suddenly liked broccoli, but because anything seemed amazing after the torture you had been through going over a week without food.
Paul Ryan, as much of a scumbag as he is, could find himself instantly popular for no other reason than he wouldn’t be Trump. That would give him a huge advantage going into 2020. An advantage that could hand him that victory.
Then, as history has shown us, it’s extremely difficult to defeat an incumbent president.
If you leave out John F. Kennedy (assassinated), Lyndon B. Johnson (Kennedy’s VP, served the rest of Kennedy’s term and one of his own, pulled out of his re-election bid), and Gerald Ford (Nixon’s VP, was never elected), since Franklin D. Roosevelt was elected in 1933 (84 years ago), only 2 elected incumbents lost their re-election bids (Jimmy Carter, George H. W. Bush). Even Richard Nixon was re-elected before resigning.
Again, I’m not saying this is Ryan’s actual plan, or that this is an open and shut case of success even if it were. However, I do think I’m someone who’s fairly rational and I don’t think that it’s all that far-fetched to believe that this could be what Ryan is banking on.
Let’s not forget that this is someone who clearly can’t stand Trump. He’s someone who, on more than one occasion, was forced to publicly condemn remarks Trump made during his campaign, yet still put party over country when he backed someone he knows isn’t fit to be leading this nation. And he did all of this because, had he not, it would have torpedoed his career.
Whether or not this turns out to be true is anybody’s guess at this point. The one thing all of us can do to make sure whatever these crooks have planned doesn’t work is to make certain we show up to every election possible (local, state, midterm, presidential) and “vote blue, no matter who” to give power back to Democrats. Yes, while the party is flawed, they’ll at least listen to what we have to say and support the vast majority of everything we support. And I’d much rather work on fixing a slightly flawed party rather than deal with opposing one that doesn’t give a damn about anything we have to say.
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